Kalshi is the only legal and largest prediction market in the U.S. where you can make money by predicting real-world events. It’s like trading stocks - but instead, you’re trading on events you know about. Simply predict whether an event will happen or not, and make money if you’re right.
Join 1M+ users and trade in over 300 markets including finance, politics, weather, culture, and more. Make money 24/7 on the simplest and fastest markets available!
FINANCIALS
Daily S&P500, Nasdaq-100, Forex (EUR/USD, USD/JPY), WTI oil
POLITICS
Debt crisis, Biden approval rating, Court cases, Government shutdown
ECONOMICS
Fed interest rates, Inflation (CPI), GDP, Recession, Gas prices, Mortgage rates
CLIMATE
Hurricane strength, Daily temperature in many cities, Tornado numbers
CULTURE
Billboard 100, Oscars, Grammys, Emmys, Bud Light sales
COLLECTIBLES AND GAMES
Watch prices, shoes prices, GTA6 Release date
HOW KALSHI WORKS
Kalshi is the first regulated exchange where you can buy and sell contracts on the outcome of events. For example, NASA announced a manned mission to the moon. Contract prices reflect the view of traders as to the chances of the event happening. You think it's going to happen, so you buy contracts for it. Contracts cost between 1¢ to 99¢, and can be sold at any time. At close, each contract is worth $1 if you’re right.
HOW IS KALSHI REGULATED?
Kalshi is federally regulated as a Designated Contract Market (DCM) by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). LedgerX LLC is a CFTC regulated clearinghouse that provides clearing services for Kalshi. The clearinghouse holds members funds and clears trades.
TRADE YOUR CONVICTIONS
Find markets that align with your interests and opinions. For example, if you think a recession is coming, trade recession and S&P markets. You can finally put your money where your mouth is.
REDUCE FINANCIAL RISK
Hedge against events that might affect your finances. For example, if you hold stocks, trade Fed and inflation markets to protect your portfolio.
KASHI VS. STOCKS
Event contracts are more direct. You trade on the outcome of an event, not the future price of a stock. This means your profits are not tied to the company’s performance. No pattern day trading restrictions. You can trade as much or as little as you want, whenever you want. This gives you more flexibility to manage your risk. In stocks, you can be right and still lose money. The price of a stock is not always based on fundamentals. Other factors, like news or market sentiment, can also affect it.
KALSHI VS. OPTIONS
Event contracts are simpler. Options are complex instruments with many factors that affect their price, making them difficult to predict. Free from time decay. Contract prices reflect the view of traders as to the chances of the event happening, while options lose value over time even if the underlying asset doesn't change in price.
HOW MUCH MONEY DO I NEED TO START?
You can open and maintain a Kalshi account for free. Our markets require less capital than others, making them a great way to diversify your investments without risking too much.
ADVANCED TOOLS & API ACCESS
Build an algorithm in 30 lines of Python code with our starter code and Python package. Get started in minutes with our helpful documentation. Backtest your strategies for free with historical data. Access open-source resources built by our developer community.